In a week full of economic results that indicated still weaker housing markets lie ahead, one interesting data point offering hope came from pending home sales, which were up +8.2% in May. This was partially driven by the fact that prior month results were down 11.3%, but this was still a positive in a week full of negatives. We know the demand for homes is being crimped by the availability of credit, so we thought it helpful to focus on the supply side of that equation for a moment. Existing home sales (which follow the pending home sales results) include single family, townhomes & condominiums. The “pace” of existing home sales is ~4.8million units annually while the “inventory” of homes is at ~3.7million (excluding consideration for “shadow inventory”) equating to ~9.2months of supply. Although still elevated the graph below depicts changing levels of supply in terms of months.
On July 20, the National Association of Realtors will release …






